In other words, does the economic hypothesis of market really works?

No, this is surely not working. This is because most of buying and selling decisions are handled by the soft brain are strongly influenced by emotions like fear and greed.

[Edit] Wamique, It is true that not all information is known.

Buy the Numbers | Jul 16, 2009

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As Mary Schapiro, the chairwoman of the Securities and Stock market Commission , said in Congressional testimony, “Automated trading systems will serve their coded logic regardless of outcome, while human involvement inclined to would have prevented these orders from executing at absurd prices.”

The computers that now dominate trading are wonderful. Their speed of trading is measured in milliseconds. They can post and withdraw an non-sequential faster than you can read this word. If a fast computer is on the other side, then a trade can be made before any person could even attend to a trade was possible.

That trade can then cause other traders’ computers to terminate that momentum has shifted, and trigger huge orders to sell at the bazaar price. The orders can also cause some brokerage firms to back away from making markets, which they do by posting a “receipt quote,” such as a bid of 1 cent for a stock.

Source: New York Times (blog)

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